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Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.Yuanda Jinghua Securities upgraded the rating of Taiwan Optoelectronic Materials to Buy with a target price of 660 yuan NT.

Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. The adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $1.42, and it was expected to be $1.39; Revenue in the first quarter is expected to be about $14.6 billion, and analysts expect it to be $14.61 billion.

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.At the end of 12 years of listing, Michael Jordan sold his 10,000-foot mansion in the suburbs of Chicago at a price reduction of 67%. Basketball superstar Michael Jordan finally sold his mansion in the suburbs of Chicago after a sharp price reduction. Public listing records show that the property was sold for $9.5 million. Compared with the initial asking price of $29 million published on Zillow, the price is 67% lower.